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Post by AD on Dec 18, 2010 23:08:56 GMT -5
Well, it's probably a little early for this, but the nominations are already being announced, so for anybody like me who actually cares about these silly things, let's talk about it... [/b] Academy Awards Nominations(winners announced 2/27) ----------------------------------------------------------------------[/center] Discuss.
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Post by Her 69 Eyes on Dec 18, 2010 23:58:18 GMT -5
I love watching award shows, no matter how infuriating they tend to be. The Academy Awards are usually fine for what they are... but the Golden Globes, in particular, can be really frustrating.
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My current Oscar predictions:
BEST PICTURE: The Social Network
The race is over. The Social Network has nabbed the top honors from just about every critic organization across the country.
Nominees (in order of confidence): The Social Network, The King's Speech, The Fighter, The Kids Are All Right, 127 Hours, Toy Story 3, Inception, Black Swan, True Grit, Winter's Bone
BEST DIRECTOR: David Fincher, The Social Network
More often than not in recent years, the winner of Best Picture gets Best Director. And Fincher hasn't won an Oscar yet.
Nominees (in order of confidence): David Fincher, The Social Network; Tom Hooper, The King's Speech; Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan; David O. Russell, The Fighter; Christopher Nolan, Inception
BEST ACTOR: Colin Firth, The King's Speech
The film looked to be The Social Network's biggest competition a few months back, and although it's momentum has stalled it's still not going to be overlooked come awards season. Firth is consistently great, so the win is overdo.
Nominees (in order of confidence): Colin Firth, The King's Speech; James Franco, 127 Hours; Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network; Jeff Bridges, True Grit; Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine
BEST ACTRESS: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
I had previously picked Annette Bening to win, however I feel that Black Swan and Portman especially have gained a tremendous amount of momentum.
Nominees (in order of confidence): Natalie Portman, Black Swan; Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right; Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole; Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone; Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christian Bale, The Fighter
This seems to be a lock. It's the showiest role of the bunch, and it's Bale's best work in years. The film wouldn't be what it is without him.
Nominees (in order of confidence): Christian Bale, The Fighter; Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech; Matt Damon, True Grit; Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right; Jeremy Renner, The Town
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
I don't quite know who to guess in this category. Melissa Leo is coming off of two big award wins (Golden Globes and Critic's Choice) and I had hardly considered her a contender. It's a three woman race between Carter, Steinfeld, and Leo at the moment.
Nominees (in order of confidence): Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech; Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit; Melissa Leo, The Fighter; Amy Adams, The Fighter; Lesley Manville Another Year
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Post by Maf on Dec 19, 2010 11:14:44 GMT -5
I have no idea who's winning but I think it's going to be pretty interesting to watch. 2010 was a great year for movies.
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Post by [beej] on Dec 19, 2010 12:42:09 GMT -5
I haven't seen many of the nominated films, but I do feel like The Fighter, while good, is a little overrated. The film's greatness was mostly attributed to Christian Bale's performance in my opinion.
I do love The Social Network and feel it deserves all the love it gets this award season.
I'm also especially excited to see True Grit.
In addition, I hope Scott Pilgrim vs. The World does not get overlooked for some of the technical awards this season. I'm aware that the film isn't a lot of people's cup of tea, but the editing and visuals were stunning.
End of beej's random movie thoughts.
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Post by AD on Dec 19, 2010 19:44:19 GMT -5
The Golden Globes have once again left me scratching my head about a number of their nominations. "The Tourist" gets three nods in the "musical or comedy" categories? Seriously? The reviews would suggest that the only comedy found in that film is of the unintentional variety. I haven't seen it, so shame on me for judging, but did anybody actually think it was supposed to be a comedy?
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Post by Maf on Dec 27, 2010 18:23:00 GMT -5
The Tourist? I thought it was supposed to be some sort of serious actiony film. Haven't watched the film so I don't know much about either.
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Post by Her 69 Eyes on Jan 17, 2011 1:35:00 GMT -5
After two wins this weekend at two separate awards ceremonies, is Melissa Leo the front-runner for Best Supporting Actress? I'm a huge fan of hers but frankly i'm a bit confused as to why this particular performance is being so widely celebrated. I'd like to see Carter pick up the win, however I do think that Steinfeld still has as good of a chance as anybody.
I think that all of the major awards are foregone conclusions except for the two women acting categories. Natalie Portman appears to have more momentum at the moment, but Bening has been robbed in the past, is respected, and hasn't been too active in recent years. The standing ovation she received at the Golden Globes tonight might be a sign that things are tipping in her favor - the actors branch is the largest in the Academy - but The Kids Are All Right has fizzled out whereas Black Swan is peaking.
I thought that the Golden Globes were a pleasant surprise in many respects despite the fact that there is little integrity owed to the Hollywood Foreign Press. The nominations were peculiar, but nobody stood out in particular as being completely robbed aside from Edgar Ramirez. Al Pacino's "hey - Al Pacino is on the ballot!" votes were expected but unfortunate (not that I don't have all the respect in the world for the man's career). Barney's Version hasn't had any kind of major release as of yet and it isn't currently schedule to open at my local theater, so i'm excited that the Globes push will probably mean more success for it. I'm a big Paul Giamatti fan.
Oscar nominations come out in about two weeks, so get predictions in... i'm definitely going to do a bit of tweaking.
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Post by Flammable D on Jan 17, 2011 14:48:13 GMT -5
Is there actually any controversy going on about Ricky Gervais' hosting? Cause I watched it and the assumption I came away with was that it was just the celebrities having no sense of humour about themselves. They want offensive, they should try have Frankie Boyle host their awards...
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Post by Her 69 Eyes on Jan 17, 2011 22:45:08 GMT -5
The bulk of the American media outlets definitely seem to support the claim that Gervais went too far, but most of the comments on those same blogs and articles have kind words to say about Gervais' performance. In fact, it's reasonable to state that he's now hotter in this country than he's ever been.
I was definitely surprised by his opening monologue in particular and it's not a surprise that some of these people don't have a sense of humor about themselves... but, in reality, anyone who follows award shows knows that the Golden Globes are a joke and that the Hollywood Foreign Press is easily bought. Gervais simply reiterated the points that media sources published weeks ago regarding The Tourist and Burlesque's surprising and undeserved nominations.
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Post by AD on Jan 17, 2011 23:43:11 GMT -5
The most frustrating part of watching the Golden Globes is waiting while the winners navigate their way through the maze of tables to get to the stage. They wouldn't need to cut the acceptance speeches so short if they just provided a couple of clear pathways to the stage.
Also, I want to know what Christian Bale said about Robert De Niro at the end of his speech.
Also, Christian Bale should do more movies with his regular voice.
Also, Christian Bale looks like Jesus now.
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Post by AD on Jan 23, 2011 13:28:00 GMT -5
So, there was a bit of an upset last night at the Producers Guild Awards as "The Kids Are All Right" pulled out the victory over "The Social Network." They say the guilds are the best indicator of the Oscars since the voting bodies overlap a good deal. I'm still betting on the "The Social Network" but things just got a little more interesting.
*edit*
Apparently IMDb has it listed wrong, "The King's Speech" won, not "The Kids Are All Right." Still makes for a more interesting Oscar race.
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Post by Her 69 Eyes on Jan 25, 2011 5:50:30 GMT -5
Nominations are revealed in a few hours and so i've updated my predictions. The two leads from Blue Valentine made the cut (in place of Robert Duvall and Julianne Moore), and Jeremy Renner takes the place of Sam Rockwell in the Supporting Actor category. I wouldn't be surprised if The Town sneaks in as the 10th Best Picture nominee over Winter's Bone. Last year offered many surprises - District 9 for Best Picture, for example - so I think there's a chance that The Town or even Secretariat sneak in nominations over the more deserving but lesser seen pictures.
I think that Portman is now the favorite for Best Actress and that Best Supporting Actress is still up in the air.
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Post by Her 69 Eyes on Jan 25, 2011 11:38:47 GMT -5
I'm happy with my wrong predictions! I didn't think John Hawkes or Javier Bardem had a chance to sneak in nominations.
The biggest surprises:
- Exit Through the Gift Shop for Best Documentary over Waiting for Superman. I assumed that the latter film was a lock to win, and Exit Through the Gift Shop's reputation would keep it from receiving a nomination.
- Dogtooth for Best Foreign Language Film. It's an incredible movie but the Academy has a track record of picking bland, sentimental films for this category. Dogtooth is something that many believed was too bizarre for the academy's tastes.
- Jacki Weaver making the Best Supporting Actress cut. She deserves it, but I thought Mila Kunis or Diane Wiest were more likely.
- Tron: Legacy's shun in the Best Visual Effects category. I don't know if was ineligible or something, but that's a category that I assumed would be Tron vs. Inception.
- Although i'm not necessarily surprised, it's humorous that Another Year earned Mike Leigh yet another Best Original Screenplay nomination. His movies are written through what are essentially extended improvisation sessions. The actors are as responsible for the material as he is.
- No Costume Design nomination for Black Swan? Scott Pilgrim vs. The World shut out in the Editing and Visual Effects categories?
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Post by AD on Jan 25, 2011 14:53:44 GMT -5
Pleasantly surprised by the nominations for Jacki Weaver and "Dogtooth." I thought Weaver stood a chance, and I knew "Dogtooth" made the shortlist of potential noms, but I certainly wasn't expecting either to make the final cut.
Very pleasantly surprised by the nomination for John Hawkes. Without seeing "The King's Speech" yet, I would say that Hawkes should actually be the favorite to win the damn thing.
I still think that Ryan Reynolds should have gotten a lead actor nod for "Buried." In the subcategory of "actor playing a guy trapped in a tight space for the duration of a film" I think Reynolds outdid James Franco in every way. Not that I was expecting him to get nominated, but I wanted to get that off my chest.
I'm still a little confused about Annette Bening being considered the lead actress of "The Kids Are All Right." Her character is the emotional center of the film, but she's got about half as much screen time as Julianne Moore. Seems like she'd have a better chance of winning the Supporting Actress award as well.
I don't have much of a problem with "Scott Pilgrim" getting passed over for visual effects, but an editing nomination would have been nice.
"I Am Love" getting a costume design nomination is a little bizarre, but maybe I just don't understand costume design.
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Post by HY2J on Jan 25, 2011 18:16:42 GMT -5
Fairly expected and pleasing list of nominations for the Oscars in my opinion. The only disappointments for me was Never Let Me Go getting completely snubbed (deserved Cinematography, Art Direction and Garfield for Supporting Actor nod), Enter The Void getting shut out. Another surprise was no Visual Effects or Score nomination for TRON: Legacy and as much as I didn't like Scott Pilgrim, it probably should've got an editing nomination. I'm not too bothered by the remaining nominations, seems like one of the better years in recent times to be honest although Inception has received too many nominations I feel
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